The Economics of rbST
John Fetrow
University of Minnesota
School of Veterinary Medicine
The Technology of rbST
Posilac®, Monsantos recombinant bovine somatotropin (rbST),
is a new compound approved for use in lactating dairy cows beginning
in the ninth week of lactation. It is to be administered by subcutaneous
injection once every 14 days. It has been shown in repeated research
trials and under practical conditions to increase milk production
in healthy, well-managed cows. Milk production responses typically
rise in the first few days following injection and then gradually
decline across the 14-day treatment period. When averaged across
the 14 days of the treatment period, the typical response in well-managed
herds appears to be an increase of 8 to 12 pounds of milk per treated
cow per day. Since its approval by the FDA more than a year ago,
Posilac has been used throughout the United States on all types
of dairy farms in all regions, climates, and seasons.
The milk production response of a dairy cow to Posilac depends
on several factors. The extra milk is not produced from nothing.
To respond, the cow must be in good health, cow comfort must be
adequate, and the cow must consume additional feed to provide the
nutrients needed for higher production. Typically, the cow will
compensate for higher production by increasing her dry matter intake.
In some herds, the composition of the ration may need to be enhanced
to support the higher production. Additional attention may be needed
to be sure that the cows have access to feed and time to consume
it. Heat stress can play an important role in determining the level
of response if dry matter intake falls off under hot or humid conditions.
Cows with individual health problems, particularly lameness, may
not respond well to the product. In addition to the nutritional
status of the herd, herds will respond best if they have good management
programs for mastitis and reproduction.
rbST Economics
In its simplest form, the profit from the use of rbST can be calculated
by subtracting the cost of the product and the cost of additional
feed from the value of the additional milk produced. For the typical
small, owner-operated farm in the upper Midwest, this may be the
only needed calculation. For some farms, particularly where extra
labor is hired or other labor outlets are available, the cost of
added labor for ordering, administering, and keeping records relating
to rbST may need to be considered. More subtle possible costs such
as effects on days open, culling, or somatic cell counts are far
less clearly defined and probably too small to be significant on
most farms.
When calculating the financial impact of rbST on a given dairy,
data specific to the dairy are necessary. For the purposes of example
in this paper, the following assumptions are made:
Milk price: the example models three prices: $10.50, $11.50, and
$12.50 per hundred pounds net to the farm.
Model Assumptions:
Herd size, ration, and rbST costs:
- 100 cows in the herd
- 80% percent of eligible cows are treated with rbST
- 0.33 Meal energy per pound of milk
- 0.78 energy density of ration per pound DMI
- $0.07 price of ration per pound of dry matter
- $5.80 price per dose for rbST
Reproduction and overall rbST usage rate:
- 120 days open
- 70 days dry
- 63 days in milk at start of rbST
- 400 day calving interval
- 267 days of rbST use/lactation (assumes continuous use to the
end of lactation)
- 67% of the herd will be receiving rbST at any given time
Labor:
- 2.0 hours spent each two weeks for labor
- $7.00 wage rate per hour
- $365 cost for labor per year
Other:
- $0.00 other rbST related costs/cow/year
- $10.00 cost/cwt to produce milk in the herd, without the use
of rbST
- 18,000 lbs production/cow without rbST
Table 1 illustrates the profit and return on investment
in rbST for the example dairy herd. To be profitable (breakeven),
the response to rbST must be at least six pounds of milk, except
at a milk price of $12.50/cwt, where five pounds is sufficient to
become profitable. Once profitability is established (past breakeven),
the profit and return on investment mount swiftly. Figure 1 illustrates
the profit for the three milk prices and each level of response.
Figure 2 illustrates the return on investment. At typical response
levels (10 pounds, underlined in Table 1), annual profits range
from more than $5,000 for the herd at $10.50/cwt up to more than
$10,000 at $12.50/cwt. Return on investment at a 10-pound response
level ranges from 77 to 125 percent, certainly an excellent rate
compared to the typical overall rate of return for dairy farming
(usually below 10 percent).
Because the return from the use of rbST is based on
milk production and on milk price, at any given response level the
profit from rbST will decrease as the milk price decreases (see
Figure 1). This does not mean, however, that as milk price drops
the farm should stop using rbST. If the production response is beyond
breakeven, rbST remains a valuable investment even if the magnitude
of profit is decreased. In situations where milk price is decreased,
total farm profit will decrease, with or without the use of rbST.
As the milk price drops, the profit derived from using rbST will
account for more and more of the total farm profits. As Table 2
and Figure 3 show, at low milk prices the profit derived from rbST
may account for as much as one half or more of total farm profit.
In our example, if milk price were $10.50 and the level of response
were 10 pounds, 41 percent of total farm profits would be derived
from rbST use.
Figure 1
Percent of Farm Profit Due to POSILAC®
Figure 2
Return on Investment in Posilac®

Figure 3
Percent of Farm Profit Due to POSILAC®

Summary
The adoption of rbST technology is fundamentally no different than
the adoption of any other new technology. There are several issues
to consider before initiating its use. Field experience has shown
the product to be very effective in well-managed, well-fed herds.
With typical levels of response, the return on investment will reach
or exceed 100 percent. As the milk price declines, the rbST use
may contribute a very large proportion of the farms total
profit. The benefits of rbST, as for any new technology, will go
to the early adopters who learn to use it effectively in their herds.
Presented at the St. Cloud Dairy Expo 95, St. Cloud, Minnesota
POSILAC®
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